Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 2.845299 3.283387 3.767470 4.342247 5.006431 5.750235 6.647029
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.335436 2.927679 3.638452 4.555180 5.707790 7.111128 8.953026
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.917955 2.583982 3.442931 4.633853 6.246114 8.358612 11.346657
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.584014 2.275955 3.227601 4.635444 6.672284 9.523434 13.838161
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.282398 1.952396 2.928778 4.460278 6.813192 10.309968 15.936711
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.046885 1.679737 2.651727 4.259719 6.869137 10.964899 17.936255
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.918297 1.546867 2.560472 4.322391 7.331058 12.300277 21.214191
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.783392 1.379912 2.385876 4.216060 7.491654 13.162330 23.840978
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.729501 1.340620 2.415943 4.459001 8.282955 15.206709 28.864789
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.669208 1.279476 2.396807 4.607623 8.922861 17.072182 33.865459
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.599717 1.189853 2.311227 4.616089 9.295532 18.489255 38.229693
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.514084 1.055695 2.121084 4.389958 9.168765 18.911296 40.650749
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.480600 1.023501 2.131194 4.580440 9.944027 21.316137 47.751097
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.456709 1.007692 2.172637 4.844630 10.922919 24.314300 56.715698
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.421629 0.962251 2.144805 4.953871 11.580848 26.727393 64.811686
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.383696 0.904433 2.081143 4.971744 12.033404 28.753017 72.376165
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.337212 0.819514 1.943418 4.793499 11.990557 29.610965 77.229067
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.295135 0.738475 1.802388 4.583647 11.833079 30.160383 81.387950
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.274406 0.706842 1.775428 4.654986 12.402087 32.626024 91.096934
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.246293 0.652118 1.683154 4.542684 12.470679 33.807487 97.511033
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.239333 0.651647 1.729134 4.806362 13.603243 38.025988 113.375943
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.227963 0.637553 1.737295 4.967798 14.478948 41.686891 128.328597
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.211272 0.606177 1.694235 4.977588 14.920499 44.189919 140.265849